Posterous theme by Cory Watilo

Sports in the Digital Age

Nuggets advance scout Chad Iske has the NBA at his fingertips.

With a few strokes on his laptop keyboard, Iske can:

• Find out exactly how many times a game Lakers guard Kobe Bryant posts up, and how effective Bryant is from that spot.

• See how often the Mavericks run a blindside pick to free up Dirk Nowitzki at the top of the key.

• Break down data to determine how successful Suns guard Steve Nash is when he drives left, whether he's more likely to shoot or pass in that situation, and whether he's more likely to go to the rim or pull up for a jumper.

But Iske doesn't simply get raw statistical data. He can also pair the data with video clips of every player and every play. And it's all available online within half an hour after each game ends.

The service is provided by Synergy Sports Technology. It is basketball scouting for the digital age, and 26 of the NBA's 30 teams use Synergy. The company even offers a way for a team's coaching staff to prepare a set of video clips that can be downloaded to an iPod and given to players.

Sports are becoming hi-tech. I've been a long time baseball fan, and it's simultaneously sad and exciting to see the game change over time.

In the MLB, we have seen the rise of specialists. There is no longer a binary division between hitters and pitchers; the categories are highly segmented. Pitching-wise, in addition to starters, a well-rounded bullpen staffs middle relievers, long relievers, setup guys and closers. Similarly, the batting line-up isn't solely comprised of eight full-time fielders. Bench and utility players exist in any line-up and are often swapped out depending on whether they hit well against the handedness of the opposing pitcher.

Technology has changed baseball from the bottom up. The Michael Lewis book, Moneyball (2003), discusses innovations by the 1998-2002 Oakland A's in detail. The book attributes the A's success to their redaction of traditional baseball norms that are essentially meaningless--like if a hot prospect has a "good" face for baseball--and they embrace statistical insight. Namely, the team treats individual plays like financial derivatives. They slice up the field with a multitude of gridlines and record the every play that is hit into an individual sector. Given the configuration of each specific player, such as the hitter, pitcher, teams playing, or the weather that day, they can analyze the winning plays in the game. They subsequently draft the players that add the most value to the configuration of their (even if the player in question is not a popular choice) and make coaching choices based around the micro-specific strengths of each player, thereby eliminating the guesswork. The book is a great read, and I highly recommend checking it out.

While sports fans will have to adjust to the changing style of professional sports, technology innovation permeates hobbyist and extreme sports. One that is particularly affected is paintball. The sport was borne in 1981 with a cattle-marking gun called the Nelspot 007. The marker (a less hostile name for "gun" that paintballers use) was slow-firing, clunky and innaccurate. Jams were frequent and expected. Fast-forward to today's markers and you have 20-30 balls per second of highly accurate, consistent shots. The result? The move from slow, strategic war-like gameplay to lightning-fast and hyperactive gameplay that resembles an american football match more so than a chess game.

I personally feel like something sacred is lost each time a record is broken or new rules are instituted for a changing game, in spite of my love for technology and innovation. What are your thoughts? In what other ways are sports affected?

Avoiding the Education Problem

Good companies pay you to learn.

Paul Buchheit, Startup School 2009

I made a broad generalization in last blog post, claiming that working at large companies will stifle the speed of your learning. This isn't necessarily true.

Industry experience at any company can provide a valuable educational experience.

I made that generalization, because, in my experience, I felt the bureaucracy of my employer was actually stifling my learning. Since I'm in the software business, a huge amount of resources are available at virtually no cost, through the Internet and open-source. Hence, a company better provide damn good resources for your education if they expect you to learn more effectively than self-education, which I would consider the alternative.

For certain individuals, the only way attain their educational goals is by working at a large company, like Google, Microsoft, Apple, or Amazon. Google, for instance, fosters a strong academic environment. There are projects that these companies are uniquely capable of producing. For individuals whose goals align very strongly with said companies, they will likely have good experiences there, in spite of the company's bureaucracy.

 

The Evils of Large Software Companies

A friend's e-mail found its way to my inbox this morning. He was interested in getting his Master's degree paid for by Google, so he's going through the interview process right now.

While my initial thought was that this is a terrible idea, I replied to him explaining why, and took the liberty of elaborating on several other negatives to working for a large software company outside of contractual agreements like this. First off, don't make deals with corporations. This is one of the ways they force you to keep working for them. I agreed to work at IBM for one year in exchange for having them move me to the Bay Area. When I decided I didn't want to work there anymore, it was a long stretch to get to the one-year marker.

Agreements with corporations exist because they're good for the company. (ex: Moving, College). The cost of hiring an employee at Microsoft is approximately $30k (source: a recruiting manager I met during college). Microsoft is on the high-end of companies, because they go the extra mile. This includes recruiter pay, flying recruiters to colleges, hosting college events (prizes, food, etc.), flying interviewees to Washington, paying interviewers, moving expenses, etc. It is in a company's interest to keep you once they have you. In addition to the initial hiring cost, turnover costs them, since they have to train new employees, teach them the company's culture, and involve them in an existing team's development cycle.

Part-time Master's degree program are a bad idea, in my opinion. The joy and benefit of school is being immersed in a highly intellectual environment. This includes learning from other students, attending talks, participating in campus organizations and school events, taking classes, and doing research. Working full-time and attending night classes eliminates all but two of those, thereby cannibalizing the learning experience.

I recognize, however, that not all people have the option of being a full-time student. My Mom, for instance, attended night classes while raising my sister and I and couldn't have attended a degree program full-time. However, this message is addressed to å young software engineers without financial or familial restrictions.

Given the lack of (those) constraints, a part-time Master's degree will take four years, plus an additional two years that the company will force you to work for them. I estimate that the pay difference between a Bachelor's degree and a Master's degree is $20-$30k. That's a total of six years for an relatively diminutive pay raise.

Consider the benefit of attending full-time. You'll get the maximum educational experience, but it'll cost you up to $80k, and you won't be getting paid. However, you're saving 4 years of freedom and will be making $100k+ when you graduate. It seems like a worthy trade-off to me, but then again, I'm the type of person that values time above all else.

A large company has more bureaucracy and provides less personal freedom. Bureaucracy, in my opinion, is another large-company Evil. It exists for a good reason: once companies create highly visible, successful properties, they must maintain those properties. This includes defending it legally and keeping their user base happy. They must instill a set of rules to protect their properties and they become less willing to take risks because so many users rely on their products. These rules lead to more slow-moving development; hence, your learning doesn't occur as fast, and generally, your freedoms are confined. It's a bit of a leap between my assumption and conclusion for this last point, but this is a topic I can discuss at length in another post.

What is the optimal way to learn about unknown unknowns?

I'm sure this question can be asked at a general level, but I'm interested in how it applies to software tools. Notably, BASH, emacs, vi, and ipython. These valuable tools are loaded with features that few users will comprehensively learn. Applying the 80/20 rule, approximately 80% of users will utilize 20% of the featureset these programs offer.

I'm interested in how the adoption of the remaining 80% can be fostered. There are several problems that face users of this software today. On a personal level, a user must make a deep commitment to it. Learning an entire suite of features can take years of consistent use across a variety of projects each with unique specifications that open the doors to new things. Additionally, the user must consistently force herself to continue training. Until then, she simply does not know which features she is missing. How can we accelerate the learning process for this long tail of features?

Initial Criticisms About Posterous

I've grown tried of WordPress' heavy feel and clunky posting mechanic. Composing each post requires me to switch between a slow-loading preview page and the post editor which consistently eats up my formatting. As a result, I dread writing new posts and haven't posted to my WordPress blog in months.

Posterous has a lot of hype, so I'm giving it a whirl. I've tried Tumblr, but it didn't feel as snappy as advertised.

I'm hoping Posterous will live up to the hype, but I'm afraid it hasn't so far, for several reasons:

1. The default theme is difficult to read. I've had fantastic vision all my life and don't wear glasses. Yet the default, 12px Arial font strains my eyes. The theme you are seeing now is a cleaned up version of the default. I changed the base font to Lucida Grande, which is acceptable at 12px.

I was initially attracted to Posterous because of it's advertised minimalism, which they do well in most respects. They even cross out one of the three setup steps on their home page; it's that simple. With a theme, I seek minimalism, yet elegance. I want no distractions from my content.

Using WordPress, this minimalism was difficult to achieve, because hosted WordPress themes are wildly abundant on the Web and hence feel cheap, and the ones that are attractive tend to have too much content. To solve this, I had to move to self-hosted WordPress, install and customize my own theme, and deal with the system administration nightmares of hosting a blog. I felt I wasn't getting bang for my buck. Fortunately, Posterous allows for fully customizable themes in your browser. However...

2. Theme selection is slow. For the pre-created themes (there are five of them), each one has a long delay in loading. I'm not sure why, since the only requirement for a preview page is dynamically replacing a style sheet. My guess it that because blog owners rarely modify their themes, they are delegating this process to cheaper servers. It appears they are re-loading the iframe containing your site's preview, as well, so maybe there are other technical constraints I'm not aware given my lack of knowledge with respect to the Posterous architecture.

3. There is no support for advanced commenting systems, IntenseDebate or Disqus. Since I didn't integrate advanced commenting from the start, I was hoping that switching blog platforms would alleviate this. No such luck. Posterous probably won't integrate these services any time soon, given that Garry Tan (Posterous founder) said they were "looking into it" over a year ago. Seeing as how Disqus and Posterous are YC alum and people are requesting the feature, there must be bad blood there or an overarching business strategy that renders integration an un-wise decision.

4. The Import feature doesn't work as advertised. None of my comments have been imported (understandable). A lot of the formatting was broken (admittedly, this could have been WordPress' fault, which always munged by formatting). All my drafts stored privately in my WordPress account were posted. I had to delete them one-by-one. Terrible user experience overall; partly Posterous' fault, partly WordPress.

My desire for the perfect blog platform is simple: speed, elegance and minimalism in design, and simplicity in writing posts. Although the set up process for Posterous was unpleasant, I'm hoping they can deliver on these points as a consistent user. I'll stick with them for the time being. They're also the newest popular platform, have a lot of momentum, and will hopefully resolve these issues with time.